Taiwan’s population decrease

Taiwan’s population decrease

In 2016, there is an estimated total population of 23,550,000 people on Taiwan.

By 2061, the high estimate of the total population is 19,490,000 people, the mid range estimate is 18,370,000 people, and the low estimate is 17,070,000 people.  The percentage decrease in population between 2016 and 2016 is 17%-27%.

The high estimate of the 2061 population would be 82.8% of the total 2016 population, the mid range estimate would be 78.0% of the 2016 total population, and the low estimate would be 72.5% of the total 2016 population.

The number of newborns in 2016 is estimated to be 210,000 babies.  By 2061, the high estimate of newborns is 140,000 less babies, the mid range estimate is 100,000 babies less, and the low estimate is 60,000 less babies compared to 2016.

The decrease in the number of newborns from 2016’s 210,000 to 2061’s high estimate of 70,000 to 80,000 is (210,000 – 14,000 = 70,000) or -36.5%, to 2061’s mid range estimate of 10,000 is (210,000 – 10,000 = 110,000) or -52.6%, and to 2061’s low estimate of 60,000 is (210,000 – 60,000 = )140,000 or -69.2%.

The 2016 population of 6-21 years old is estimated at 4,010,000, and 20 years later in 2036, this segment of the population is estimated to be 1,190,000, a decrease of 3,760,000.

In 2036, the population of elementary school children 6-11 years old will be 300,000, a decrease of 40,000 from 2016.  The number of middle school and high school aged students of 12-17 years old will be 470,000, a decrease of 330,000 from 2016.  The number of college aged students 18-21 years old will be 420,000, a decrease of 390,000 from 2016.

The population of 15-64 years old will begin to decrease starting in 2016.  The estimated population of this age group in 2061 is 8,610,000, a decrease of 7,220,000 from 2016.

The population of 15-29 years old constitutes 26.9% of the total population in 2016.  It is estimated to decrease to 22.1% in 2061.  The population of 30-44 years old constitutes 32.6% of the total population in 2016.  It is estimated to be 30.4% in 2061.  The population of 45-64 years old constitutes 40.5% of the total population in 2016.  It is estimated to be 47.5% in 2061.

Between 2016 and 2061, the population 65 years old and older is expected to increase from 13.2% in 2016 to 38.9% in 2061.

Taiwan’s median age in 2016 is 40.4 years old, and in 2061, it will be 56.9 years old.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

About masterchensays

Victor Chen, herbalist, alternative healthcare lecturer, Chinese affairs analyst, retired journalist
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