From 23,558,367 (2016) to 18,000,000 (2061)

From 23,558,367 (2016) to 18,000,000 (2061)

Taiwan’s population will dwindle from 23,558,367 at the end of 2016 to 18,000,000 in 2061.

Taiwan’s population growth in 2024 will be 0.  Estimated population is 23,740,000.

In 2061, Taiwan’s estimated population is 18,370,000, a drop of -22.0% (23,558,367 – 18,370,000 % = 22.0%) from that at the end of 2016.

In the first 9 months of 2017, 143,000 babies were born and 130,000 people died.  In 2016, 208,000 babies were born.  It is estimated that in 2061, 98,592 babies will be born, a drop of -52.6% from the 208,000 babies born in 2016.

In 2016, there were 4,010,000 Taiwanese between the ages of 6 and 21.  In 2036, it is estimated that those between 6 and 21 years old will number 3,000,000.

In 2016, there were 15,830,000 working age people between 15 and 64 years old.  In 2061, it is estimated that the working age population will be 8,610,000, a reduction of 7,220,000 or 45.60%.

In 2016, the population between 45 and 64 years old constituted 40.5% of the total population.  By 2061, they will constitute 47.5%.

In 2016, 169,000 Taiwanese died.  In 2061, it is estimated that 337,000 will die.

In 2016, seniors over 65 years old constituted 13.2% of the total population.  By 2061, they will constitute 38.9% of the total population.

In 2016, 5.6 working age people supported one senior.  By 2061, 1.3 working age persons will support 1 senior.

Another important factor in Taiwan’s population reduction is that the number of women of child bearing age will drop.  There will be less women giving birth, and the number of mothers will drop.

An example is the number of students at Taiwan’s second oldest elementary school, the Lao Sung Elementary School, founded in May of 1896.  In 1966, it had 11,110 students and 158 classes with 70-80 students per class.  In 2011, the school had 1,000 students.  In 2017, there are 452 students attending school there.

 

 

 

 

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About masterchensays

Victor Chen, herbalist, alternative healthcare lecturer, Chinese affairs analyst, retired journalist
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